forecast-methodology
Historical FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecasts
This folder contains the data behind the story How The FiveThirtyEight Senate Forecast Model Works.
| Header | Definition |
|---|---|
state | Election |
year | Year of election |
candidate | Last name |
forecast_prob | Probability of winning election per FiveThirtyEight Election Day forecast |
result | Win or Loss |
For archived results, see:
- 2008 https://web.archive.org/web/20081106113055/http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/
- 2010 http://elections.nytimes.com/2010/forecasts/senate
- 2012 http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/fivethirtyeights-2012-forecast/
Files
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